NewsmaxZogby U.S. Nationwide Tracking Poll Race for White House Stays Close -- Romney Up 2, 48%-46%
The new three-day rolling average of 1,013 U.S. likely voters, conducted online from Friday (November 02) through Sunday (November 04), has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.1 percentage points.
Full News Release and Tracking Tables at: http://www.jzanalytics.com/
Pollster John Zogby: "Are we looking at a possible split decision on Tuesday? Either candidate can win the close popular vote and lose the Electoral College -- even by a landslide. This is so much like 2000 all over again. Neither candidate seems to be able to keep momentum for more than a few days. Slowly the popular vote is swinging back to Romney. Will he sustain it for the next few days or will it swing back again? If Romney holds on and even grows his lead over the next few days, it can influence turnout for him in several key states. Obama is holding on to his base support. Romney is still not performing where he needs to among white voters and evangelicals. But he is now leading by double digits among NASCAR fans, growing his lead to 16 points among investors, and leading by 7 with men. The biggest difference in today's polling is Romney's substantial lead among independents, 48%-34%, but today's three-day tracking still has 18% of independents as undecided."